
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") requires the application of accounting policies that often involve a significant degree of judgment. Management, on an ongoing basis, reviews estimates and assumptions. If management determines, as a result of its consideration of facts and circumstances, that modifications in assumptions and estimates are appropriate, results of operations and financial position as reported in the Consolidated Financial Statements may change significantly.
The following sections discuss accounting policies applied in preparing our financial statements that management believes are most dependent on the application of estimates and assumptions.
Valuation of Investments
The major portion of our investments are recorded at fair value in the statements of financial position. Fair values are based on quoted market prices or estimates from independent pricing services, when available. However, when such information is not available, for example, with respect to private placement fixed maturity securities, fair value is estimated, typically by using a discounted cash flow model, which considers current market credit spreads for publicly traded issues with similar terms by companies of comparable credit quality. Consequently, changes in estimated future cash flows or in our assessment of the issuer's credit quality will result in changes in carrying value. For fixed maturities and equity securities classified as available for sale, the impact of such changes is recorded in "Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)," a separate component of equity. However, the carrying value of these securities is written down to estimated fair value when a decline in value is considered to be other than temporary, and we record the corresponding impairment loss in "Realized investment gains (losses), net" in the statements of operations. The factors we consider to determine if an impairment loss is warranted are discussed more fully in Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The level of impairment losses can be expected to increase when economic conditions worsen and decrease when economic conditions improve.
"Commercial loans" are carried at unpaid principal balances, net of unamortized discounts and an allowance for losses. This allowance includes a loan specific portion as well as a portfolio reserve for incurred but not specifically identified losses. The loan specific portion is based on management's judgment as to ultimate collectibility of loan principal. The portfolio reserve is based on a number of factors, such as historical experience and portfolio diversification. Similar to impairment losses discussed above, the allowance for losses can be expected to increase when economic conditions worsen and decrease when economic conditions improve.
Policyholder Liabilities and Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs
The liability for "Future policy benefits" is the largest liability included in our statements of financial position. This liability is primarily comprised of the present value of estimated future payments to holders of life insurance and annuity products where the timing and amount of payment depends on policyholder mortality, surrender or retirement experience. For traditional participating life insurance products of our Closed Block Business, the mortality and interest rate assumptions we apply are those used to calculate the policies' guaranteed cash surrender values. For life insurance and annuity products of our Financial Services Businesses, expected mortality is generally based on the Company's historical experience or standard industry tables. Interest rate assumptions are based on factors such as market conditions and expected investment returns. Although mortality and interest rate assumptions are "locked-in" upon the issuance of new insurance or annuity business with fixed and guaranteed terms, significant changes in experience or assumptions may require us to provide for expected future losses on a product by establishing premium deficiency reserves. For example, in 2000 we restructured the portfolio that supports the structured settlement products within our Other Employee Benefits segment to reduce the emphasis on equity investments, which in turn lowered our expected future investment returns. As a result, we recorded a charge to establish a premium deficiency reserve for these products.
Our liability for "Unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses" includes estimates of claims that we believe have been incurred, but have not yet been reported ("IBNR") as of the balance sheet date, primarily attributable to our Property and Casualty Insurance segment and the group disability products within our Group Insurance segment. These estimates, and estimates of the amounts of loss we will ultimately incur on reported claims, which are based in part on our historical experience, are regularly adjusted to reflect actual claims experience. When actual experience differs from our previous estimate, the resulting difference will be included in our reported results for the period of the change in estimate. On an ongoing basis, trends in actual experience are a significant factor in the determination of claim reserve levels. In recent years, actual claims experience with respect to our automobile insurance business within our Property and Casualty Insurance segment has been more favorable than the assumptions we used in originally establishing the reserves for these claims, which resulted in a benefit to adjusted operating income for these years due to reserve releases, although we do not anticipate a comparable benefit in 2002. Actual claims experience can also be less favorable than that assumed in establishing reserves, which can require a charge to earnings to increase reserves. For example, we recorded a charge in 1999 with respect to our discontinued healthcare business, increasing the loss we had initially recorded in 1998 in connection with the sale of the business, as a result of adverse claims experience subsequent to our initial estimate of the required reserves.
For most life insurance and annuity products that we sell, we defer costs that vary with and are related primarily to the production of new business to the extent these costs are deemed recoverable from future profits, and we record these costs as an asset known as "Deferred policy acquisition costs" or "DAC" in the statements of financial position. We amortize this DAC asset over the expected lives of the contracts, based on the level and timing of either estimated profits or premiums, depending on the type of contract. For products with amortization based on future premiums, the amortization rate is locked-in when the product is sold. However, for products with amortization based on estimated profits, the amortization rate is periodically updated to reflect current period experience or changes in assumptions that affect future profitability, such as lapse rates, investment returns, mortality experience, expense margins and surrender charges. These changes result in adjustments to DAC balances in the period that we change our assumptions as well as changes in prospective DAC amortization. For example, adverse market conditions in 2001 resulted in declines in the market values of assets supporting our variable life insurance and annuity products, which in turn resulted in lower expectations regarding our estimated future gross profits from fee-based income. As a result, we recorded a higher level of DAC amortization in 2001 for these products. DAC is also subject to periodic recoverability testing.
Reserves For Contingencies
A contingency is an existing condition that involves a degree of uncertainty that will ultimately be resolved upon the occurrence of future events. Under GAAP, reserves for contingencies are required to be established when the future event is probable and its impact can be reasonably estimated. An example is the establishment of a reserve for losses in connection with an unresolved legal matter. The initial reserve reflects management's best estimate of the probable cost of ultimate resolution of the matter and is revised accordingly as facts and circumstances change and, ultimately, when the matter is brought to closure. Another example is the actual execution of a definitive management commitment to exit or restructure a business. When management formally commits to such an action, reserves are established based on the estimated cost of executing the action. These would typically include severance and employee benefit costs, facilities closure costs, and certain other direct incremental costs. For example, we established such reserves in connection with our disposition of our former healthcare business (see Note 3 to the Consolidated Financial Statements) and the restructuring of the capital markets business of Prudential Securities (see Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial Statements). The initial establishment of these reserves reflected management's best estimate of the ultimate costs. Our results for subsequent periods reflected changes in these estimates to the extent that the actual costs of carrying out the plans were different from our original estimates.
Other Significant Estimates
In addition to the items discussed above, the application of GAAP requires management to make other estimates and assumptions. For example, accounting for pension and other postretirement and postemployment benefits requires estimates of future returns on plan assets, expected increases in compensation levels and trends in health care costs. These are discussed in Note 16 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. Another example is the recognition of deferred tax assets, which depends on management's assumption that future earnings will be sufficient to realize the deferred benefit. This is discussed in Note 17 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.